Updated BCS Bowl Game Projections

Updated 2012 BCS Bowl Game Projections (and other Major Bowls) 

BCS Title Game:

Kansas State (Big 12 Champ) vs. Oregon (Pac-12 Champ)

Fiesta Bowl:

Oklahoma (BCS at large) vs. Georgia (BCS at large)

Rose Bowl: 

Nebraska (Big 10 Champ)  vs. Stanford (BCS at large) 

Sugar Bowl: 

Alabama (SEC Champ) vs. Notre Dame (BCS at-large)

Orange Bowl: 

Florida State (ACC Champ)  vs. Louisville (Big East Champ)


Non BCS Bowl Games: 

Capital One Bowl: 

South Carolina (SEC selection) vs. Michigan (Big 10 selection)

Outback Bowl: 

Florida (SEC Selection) vs. Wisconsin (Big 10 selection)

Cotton Bowl:

Texas A&M (SEC selection)  vs. Texas (Big 12 selection)

Chick fil-A Bowl: 

LSU vs. Clemson

College Football Picks Week 11

Season Record: 103- 31
Last Week: 10-5

Where I was wrong: LSU over Alabama, and USC over Oregon.

Week 11:

Alabama 38 Texas A&M 13 (Texas A&M has been more than impressive in their first year in he SEC. They have not been blown out by any team and had a few more bounces gone the Aggies way we could be looking an undefeated match-up between the Ags and the Tide for a right to play in the SEC title game and possibly the BCS Title Game. The Aggies have seen a great LSU defense that shut superstar QB Johnny Manziel down, and a Florida defense that shut the Aggies down in the 2nd half. So they have seen defenses that are on par with the Crimson Tide. They have not however seen an offense that is so efficient at just not making mistakes. I look for the Tide to clamp down on Manziel in Tuscaloosa and wear down the Aggies defense with a balanced attack that leans heavily on the run in the 2nd half.)

Notre Dame 24 Boston College 14 (The Irish had a scare last week. I do not think it will happen two weeks in a row.)

Oregon 56 Cal 34 (Did a Cal player really "Dare" Oregon to score on the Cal defense? Silly man.)

LSU 28 Mississippi State 14 The Tigers get a Bulldog team that is licking its wounds. Close early but, the Tigers pull away.

Stanford 27 Oregon State 20

Texas 34 Iowa State 17

Oklahoma 45 Baylor 17

USC 34 Arizona State 27

Nebraska 28 Penn St. 14

Georgia 42 Auburn 13

Texas Tech 34 Kansas 7

South Carolina 38 Arkansas 13

Michigan 23 Northwestern 17

Minnesota 20 Illinois 17

West Virginia 56 Oklahoma State 49

UPSET OF THE WEEK: 

TCU 20 Kansas State 19

(The Frogs get a beaten up Kansas St. team that I picked to play in the BCS title game. While QB Collin Klein will play, I suspect that the Frogs D clamps down at home and pulls a major upset. TCU plays in yet another nail biter of a game and comes away with a statement win) 


Current BCS Bowl Game Match-up Forecast: 

BCS Title Game: 
Alabama vs. Notre Dame

Sugar Bowl: 
LSU vs Oklahoma 

Fiesta Bowl: 
Kansas State vs USC 

Rose Bowl: 
Oregon vs Nebraska 

Orange Bowl: 
Florida State vs. Louisville

And yes, I am again saying that the Cotton Bowl will be Texas vs. Texas A&M. 

HAPPY WEEK 11!!!

Alabama LSU dust has settled. Bama in line for #15?

Alabama LSU dust has settled. Bama in line for #15?

After a thrilling 21-17 win over LSU in Death Valley, Alabama is now firmly attached to a spot in the BCS Title game. The only question remains is who will they face? 

Oregon, who I have openly questioned the toughness of is mowing everyone down in their path. I did not question whether or not Oregon was good, only if their schedule was comparable to an SEC champion or a Big 12 champion. I still do not believe in the Pac-12. The pre-season darling #1 USC has fallen and fallen hard. Oregon'e only other quality wins are against Washington and Arizona. But, in the end you can only play who is on your schedule and that is what Oregon is doing...in a very dominate fashion. 

Kansas State has very little left on their schedule to be upset worthy. Obviously TCU and Texas could give the Wildcats a run for their money. I still expect Kansas State to finish undefeated as well. 

Then there is Notre Dame who survived a major upset from Pitt. Notre Dame took out a good Oklahoma team at Norman. If they can do the same to USC you will hear their names in the BCS title discussion. If they should indeed knock off USC it will be hard to keep the Fighting Irish out of the Title game. 

So there you have it. A very good chance at having 4 undefeated teams at season's end, and only 2 spots in the BCS title game. 

Understand right now that if Alabama goes undefeated that they are in. the SEC 6 year BCS title streak will be given a chance to defend. So who plays the Tide? If I had to guess it would be Notre Dame because of the fact they took down two top programs at home. They also took down a very scrappy Stanford team in overtime. The fact that USC now has 3 losses may hurt Notre Dame though. USC could possibly get another shot at Oregon in the Pac-12 Title game. Honestly I do not see that happening. Kansas State could lose to either Texas or TCU but, I don't think that will happen. If Oregon gets to the Pac-12 Title game unbeaten I don't look for them to lose either. So there you have it. Alabama would play...(Flip a coin) 

We could very well be looking at 3 teams who finish the season undefeated. Actually 4 if you think about Louisville. Could there be a 3-way split for the Title? If Alabama plays Notre Dame in the BCS title game and beats them but, Oregon beats their Rose Bowl opponent and Kansas State wins the Fiesta Bowl, do you split the title 3 ways? Can they? 

I think you would more than likely have 2 teams split the BCS title and one poor team finishing number 2. Sorry Louisville but, you would not be in the discussion. Can we start that 4 team play-off this year instead of 2014??? 

Of course look for all hell to break loose if all of these teams should drop a game between now and selection Sunday. You just have to love College Football don't you? 

Current BCS Forecast: 

BCS Title Game: Alabama vs. Notre Dame

Sugar Bowl: Georgia vs. Oklahoma 

Fiesta Bowl: Kansas State vs. Clemson 

Orange Bowl: Florida State vs. Louisville

Rose Bowl: Oregon vs. Nebraska 

Non BCS Bowl Games: 

Capital One Bowl: Texas A&M vs. Michigan

Outback Bowl: Florida vs. Wisconsin

Cotton Bowl: Texas vs. LSU

Week 10 BCS Predictions. Is Alabama invincible? Are the Irish BCS bound?

What we know going into Week 10-

-Alabama is the best team in the country until someone beats them. Is that team LSU? If not LSU, then who? After Alabama was compared to an NFL team this week by Steve Spurrier I think Nick Saban's head almost exploded. He hates his teams being "over-praised" Sorry Nick, that is what happens when you are so good. But, there is an LSU team ready to put the January 9th BCS title game loss behind them and test your team like they have not been tested this year.

-Oregon like Alabama has steamrolled everyone in their path. They get a USC team that is licking it's wounds this weekend. Don't expect Oregon to be winning 49-0 at halftime. USC will hit Oregon in the mouth this week and Oregon may not recover.

-Notre Dame rocked Oklahoma in Norman last week and now has its sights set on a BCS title game berth. Can they avoid the letdown game that has always plagued them in the past? Maybe this week but, I see the Fighting Irish dropping out of the BCS title game picture before the season is over. That doesn't mean that they do not go to a BCS bowl though.

-Ohio State is undefeated and will not sniff a bowl game this year do to sanctions. As bad as their defense has been, Urban Myer has to be shocked that the Buckeyes are still undefeated. I think that is an indictment on the B1G...

-Texas A&M is ahead of schedule in the SEC and they may be more than anyone is willing to admit that they can handle in the coming years. If they can avoid the letdown year in 2013 I think that they will evolve into an SEC power for the long haul.

-Kansas State will play for the BCS title. There I said it.


BCS Bowl Game forecast as currently ranked:

BCS Title Game:  Alabama vs. Kansas State.

Rose Bowl:  Oregon vs. Nebraska

Sugar Bowl:  Georgia vs. Notre Dame

Fiesta Bowl:  Oklahoma vs. USC

Orange Bowl:  Florida State vs. Louisville

If the 4-Team Play-off were happening this year:

Round 1- Alabama vs. Oregon and Kansas State vs. Notre Dame

Title Game- Alabama vs. Kansas State.


Week 10 Picks:

Season Record (93-26) Week 9 Record: 11-4

I picked the Upset of the Week game again this season with Arizona upsetting USC.


Notre Dame 24 Pittsburgh 13 (Pittsburgh hangs around a lot longer than the Irish like in this one)

Kansas State 35 Oklahoma State 17

Texas A&M 27 Mississippi State 17

Texas Tech 37 Texas 20

West Virginia 28 TCU 27

Oklahoma 35 Iowa State 14 (Sooners bounce back in a big way)

Nebraska 34 Michigan State 24

Florida 31 Missouri 14

Georgia 27 Ole Miss 14

Stanford 42 Colorado 3

Ohio State 34 Illinois 23

Boise State 35 San Diego State 13

Oregon State 30 Arizona State 21

USC 31 Oregon 28

UPSET OF THE WEEK:

(You can throw all of my projections above out of the window. I have no business picking this upset from what we have seen from both teams. But, this game is in Death Valley on a Saturday Night! January 9th fresh on players and coaches and fans minds. Not to mention the Tigers are playing against the invincible team that has been compared to an NFL team. So yes I will call this with every bit of the realization that it could backfire...badly. But, it won't)

LSU 17 Alabama 16

HAPPY WEEK 10!!!